The battle for the Paul Bunyan trophy takes place this Saturday at noon in East Lansing. Spartans are confident riding their 3 game win streak in the series and need to be reminded of the series all-time record of 67-31-5.
(it should be noted that um is a mere 34-22-2 since the Paul Bunyan trophy was established. thats what? a JLSmith tenure worth of dominance?- tbone) This year, what appears to be two evenly matched teams will do battle. To better prepare you, Tbone and I will provide a rundown of a match-up of personnel and try to figure out who has an advantage in this game.
Up today, the battle in:
The Trenches
Big Ten games are usually decided by who wins the battle up front. While this battle won't be the only one we discuss it may just be the most important.
First up: Michigan's D-Line
 |
He's crazy...good. Crazy and good? Yeah maybe that's it |
Michigan's defense is vastly improved and a lot of the credit needs to go to a veteran defensive front. They aren't the biggest defensive line in the B1G but they do have a lot of talent. Mike Martin has had games in his career when he was a one man wrecking crew but has battled some injuries that have slowed him down. He appears to be healthy and regularly taking on double teams. He has the capability to make big plays when Cousins drops back and also will be stout in the run game. Ryan Van Bergen is the epitome of solid, he has a high motor and never stops pursuing the football. Craig Roh has really picked up his game lately and will be a factor in the pass rush. In an ideal world, Michigan will shut down the Spartans running game and get after Cousins in obvious passing situations with the blitz.
The defensive line for Michigan is not a dominating unit but they are a solid Big Ten D-line. If the Spartans oft discussed offensive line issues are for real, Michigan has players capable of exploiting the weakness.
And that brings us to...
Tbone on the Spartans O-line
I wrote this when Pat and I started the blog.
(This is a legit concern. And I wont even try to argue otherwise. However, I will try to talk them up a bit. Skylar Burkland is a redshirt freshman and I haven't read one bad thing about him. Hes big, hes fast, and is knocking the defensive ends on their asses in scrimmage. Jared Mcgaha, is a senior, he has played in every eligible season and has started. hes not as thick as Dan However, Jared is 6-6. Dan France came from the defensive line. However, he was originally recruited as a OT out of high school. This unit will make mistakes, false starts, etc. Hopefully they will learn quick..... And you may remember this position switch, he came from the defensive line. O, here's an image:
(plus with all this youth, imagine the unit next year, sounds like future best OL in the B1G.)
This still rings true and after the OSU game, we look pretty good. I think Travis Jackson is a huge difference maker for the offensive line. The OSU defense is solid, and after watching us give up zero sacks I feel fairly good about our ability to keep Cousins clean against UM. This is obviously a huge difference maker, if UM can get to Cousins and get him nervous in the pocket and throwing off the back foot, it will be a long day. I do not have a lot to say about the offensive line because I write about them every week.
(Pat interjects: Doesn't Burkland's injury turn a line with question marks and upside into a cross your fingers and pray situation?)
So it looks like Tbone is cautiously optimistic with regards to the Spartans O-line play in this game. Let's see how he feels about the...
Spartans Defensive line
 |
Validating the preseason hype? |
The defensive line is a different story. Again, to use the OSU game, our defensively line was dominant. Will Gholston finally had a coming out party, and is excellent in pursuit. This game will be a little different and the OSU game was no reason to believe we can win a game solely on defense. Sure, we won the game basically on defense but OSU's offense is that bad. (i think the Nebraska game was a fluke). Keeping Denard inside the tackles and making him throw will be a huge advantage for MSU. There is no mistaking his ability to run the ball, his passing game leaves a lot to be desired. Jerel Worthy needs to have a monster game especially after all the news surrounding his tattoo. Something else to watch are hits Denard takes. He took a lot of hits early in the Northwestern game and seems, this year, to have a great ability to bounce back. It is always nice to get hits on the quarterback and hitting Denard, and maybe seeing UM put in an unproven QB in would be monumental. Marcus Rush is a legit pass rushing threat. He is a red shirt freshman defensive end who has high motor and this year has shown her can play. Anthony Rashad White is the nose tackle, 6-2 320 pounds of hurt. He hasnt really done a lot to impress me, but with that kind of girth he can plug holes. If we are to win this game, the defensive line needs to get through UM's offensive line and bottle up Denard. Stop him from running rampant and we can win this.
(Pat interjects again: I heard in the off-season that this Spartan unit was going to be the strength of the entire team. I've seen some concrete evidence to back that up but also have some lingering doubts. Namely, the schedule thus far. MSU has played some horrendous offenses.)
And to round it out...
Michigan's O-line
 |
Thin to win |
Even in the disappointing 2010 season, Michigan ran the football. Most have attributed that success to Denard Robinson's crazy ability (that's true, obviously) but the offensive line is also deserving of plenty of credit. Taylor Lewan will play left tackle in the NFL and David Molk will play center. This unit (starting unit, depth is worse than shaky) is probably the best on Michigan's team. They do come into the Spartan game with a few question marks and namely, will they be asked to drive block or zone and reach block? They are less than mediocre at the former and tremendous at the latter. Recruited to run the spread for Rodriguez, these guys are big but very mobile. They aren't Wisconsin's offensive line but they are damn effective. My expectation is that you'll see a lot of zone read this weekend as well as other zone blocking schemes to best utilize the personnel. If Michigan tries to line up and pound the ball against MSU they may have some problems. I'm confident Borges recognizes this and you'll see Michigan gain yards on the ground.
The match-up of Sparty d-line and UM o-line will likely determine this game. Watch to see if Denard finds grass, if he does Michigan will be in good shape. If Denard is constantly harassed because of pressure and third and long, well that's the other option.
In a hypothetical world where you are the GM of an NFL team (or NBA or any pro sport)...Would you rather draft with the first and 4th picks or the 2nd and 3rd?
In my own humble opinion, I think the Spartans have the better defensive line, (1st pick), Wolverines the better offensive line (pick 2), but whereas the Michigan d-line is solid (3rd pick), the Spartans o-line is unproven and a huge question mark (pick...4? 8? 52?)
This is the week that this blog was created for so let's get some discussion in the comments. Tell me how wrong (or right) you think I am.
Up tomorrow: running backs and wide receivers.