Worried About Purdue?

So Purdue surprised last weekend with a win over Illinois after a solid performance in a loss @Penn State the previous week.  What does this mean?  Should I, as a Michigan fan, be worried about the Boilers?

Danny Hope is winning at mustache.

A quick look at the stats:

Purdue is 68th in total offense gaining 387 yards per game.
For comparison, Michigan is ranked 25th @ 451 yards per game.

Purdue is 39th in total defense, yielding 351 yards per game.
Michigan is 36th @ 345 yards per game.  An interesting note here is that Michigan's defense allows more yards per play, which may be a better determinate of the defense than yardage per game.

So far this season:

W 27-24 vs Middle Tennessee
L  24-22 @ Rice  (why did they play @Rice?)
W 59-0 vs Southeastern Missouri St
L 38-10 vs Notre Dame
W 45-17 vs Minnesota
L 23-18 @ Penn State
W 21-14 vs Illinois

Which gives Purdue a record of 4-3.  By the pattern of their schedule, they are due for a loss this week to keep the every-other thing rolling so we've got that going for us. 

I'd be more worried about this game if it was on the road, but Purdue is not a pushover.  Vegas really likes Michigan as they came out a 15 point favorite in this game.  To me, that's a bit too much but I think Michigan does have a much more potent offense.  If we exclusively see bad Denard again, Purdue will take advantage and win the ballgame.  Denard needs to improve over the 2nd half of the season if Michigan wants to have a special season (10-2 type year). I'll have more thoughts on this game later in the week.

Purdue started out the season with some really bad performances, sneaking by Middle Tennessee and losing to a pretty bad Rice team don't seem like something a good team would do...but the recent evidence trends toward an improving ball club that is gaining confidence and playing well.